Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 2.143598 2.455911 2.799905 3.207246 3.676899 4.201964 4.834285
2025-06-22 1.614624 2.020141 2.509195 3.143938 3.948313 4.936770 6.248372
2025-06-29 1.336006 1.773992 2.335679 3.111807 4.161324 5.538164 7.492891
2025-07-06 1.131890 1.576892 2.176668 3.048748 4.292294 6.013674 8.597943
2025-07-13 1.053453 1.531181 2.204022 3.227663 4.758127 6.981107 10.490601
2025-07-20 0.943973 1.423739 2.125927 3.237517 4.970243 7.596323 11.931535
2025-07-27 0.877548 1.369393 2.115234 3.340161 5.324942 8.454581 13.841493
2025-08-03 0.798305 1.284721 2.046415 3.339933 5.511210 9.061286 15.410907
2025-08-10 0.726052 1.202222 1.970394 3.316090 5.650517 9.598786 16.919267
2025-08-17 0.657467 1.117843 1.881364 3.258230 5.721322 10.021490 18.268676
2025-08-24 0.617524 1.077270 1.860546 3.313528 5.992144 10.816326 20.381437
2025-08-31 0.582785 1.041842 1.844255 3.373471 6.274981 11.658943 22.681345
2025-09-07 0.537051 0.986648 1.795364 3.383924 6.497102 12.471300 25.152616
2025-09-14 0.484431 0.914079 1.708926 3.317376 6.571635 13.027518 27.231864
2025-09-21 0.442731 0.856988 1.644226 3.283371 6.702946 13.707529 29.663253
2025-09-28 0.402306 0.797677 1.568294 3.216679 6.756851 14.232420 31.833423
2025-10-05 0.393570 0.800280 1.614371 3.405916 7.373349 16.025260 37.123864
2025-10-12 0.367534 0.764522 1.578469 3.416339 7.601161 16.998299 40.660142
2025-10-19 0.353002 0.751171 1.587401 3.524917 8.061776 18.554556 45.844811
2025-10-26 0.330314 0.717814 1.549951 3.524676 8.270499 19.552628 49.797613
2025-11-02 0.307761 0.682365 1.504116 3.499454 8.416139 20.418077 53.546830
2025-11-09 0.284632 0.643236 1.445977 3.438249 8.465921 21.053734 56.787732
2025-11-16 0.271978 0.626819 1.437877 3.496744 8.822289 22.510666 62.517824